Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.019871 0.021480 0.023158 0.025038 0.027088 0.029257 0.031728
2025-09-28 0.017211 0.019517 0.022050 0.025045 0.028495 0.032353 0.037006
2025-10-05 0.015389 0.018080 0.021154 0.024935 0.029477 0.034775 0.041453
2025-10-12 0.014171 0.017135 0.020629 0.025069 0.030590 0.037261 0.045984
2025-10-19 0.013170 0.016320 0.020133 0.025119 0.031503 0.039458 0.050201
2025-10-26 0.012306 0.015580 0.019640 0.025081 0.032237 0.041398 0.054136
2025-11-02 0.011572 0.014937 0.019202 0.025047 0.032921 0.043259 0.058022
2025-11-09 0.010773 0.014148 0.018509 0.024609 0.033006 0.044284 0.060787
2025-11-16 0.010065 0.013431 0.017857 0.024165 0.033027 0.045184 0.063384
2025-11-23 0.009560 0.012953 0.017491 0.024077 0.033510 0.046718 0.066936
2025-11-30 0.009069 0.012463 0.017074 0.023880 0.033808 0.047980 0.070135
2025-12-07 0.008641 0.012035 0.016717 0.023739 0.034163 0.049321 0.073500
2025-12-14 0.008184 0.011559 0.016287 0.023498 0.034400 0.050564 0.076905
2025-12-21 0.007836 0.011222 0.016042 0.023518 0.035031 0.052439 0.081430
2025-12-28 0.007482 0.010858 0.015733 0.023417 0.035461 0.054019 0.085570
2026-01-04 0.007218 0.010610 0.015583 0.023543 0.036239 0.056168 0.090761
2026-01-11 0.006953 0.010347 0.015391 0.023589 0.036883 0.058127 0.095745
2026-01-18 0.006687 0.010069 0.015160 0.023555 0.037385 0.059869 0.100459
2026-01-25 0.006441 0.009807 0.014941 0.023523 0.037881 0.061619 0.105282
2026-02-01 0.006124 0.009420 0.014505 0.023114 0.037721 0.062242 0.108130
2026-02-08 0.005827 0.009052 0.014081 0.022700 0.037524 0.062781 0.110844
2026-02-15 0.005621 0.008818 0.013863 0.022617 0.037887 0.064302 0.115450
2026-02-22 0.005405 0.008561 0.013595 0.022433 0.038057 0.065485 0.119487